Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.154512 3.522489 3.920767 4.384623 4.910952 5.490689 6.179082
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.680132 3.182456 3.764768 4.492635 5.382172 6.439061 7.797522
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.342370 2.911602 3.606307 4.522601 5.708339 7.203063 9.249086
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.098885 2.707140 3.481125 4.548025 5.995763 7.913713 10.683369
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.908860 2.540486 3.373342 4.565812 6.252042 8.585411 12.118734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.714348 2.343160 3.197848 4.462128 6.314846 8.977978 13.182974
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.577987 2.209855 3.092911 4.439051 6.478251 9.515716 14.505227
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.456004 2.084238 2.984588 4.395227 6.598105 9.989075 15.768202
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.408768 2.061788 3.021829 4.568607 7.060618 11.029210 18.057208
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.322957 1.973685 2.951767 4.566532 7.240353 11.628336 19.669294
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.239097 1.881456 2.866863 4.530923 7.357631 12.128988 21.159323
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.118656 1.723204 2.666225 4.288585 7.103200 11.966538 21.422683
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.059610 1.660268 2.615952 4.296891 7.287646 12.602701 23.280239
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.024621 1.633710 2.622729 4.402530 7.653249 13.602507 25.971998
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.978322 1.584843 2.588134 4.431833 7.881496 14.368957 28.296948
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.935254 1.538166 2.553318 4.456687 8.101818 15.140083 30.731048
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.894535 1.492545 2.516619 4.474075 8.307733 15.901494 33.244145
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.838524 1.416512 2.420816 4.372722 8.270583 16.165418 34.685009
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.799008 1.367050 2.368998 4.350163 8.387186 16.756156 36.947658
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.759587 1.315263 2.309366 4.307322 8.457440 17.253840 39.057167
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.751909 1.320711 2.355657 4.476807 8.985947 18.803675 43.952846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.722071 1.283218 2.318496 4.474779 9.147108 19.549844 46.941188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.690159 1.239928 2.267417 4.439971 9.232872 20.131192 49.586686